ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF PRODUCTION PARAMETERS OF PEAS IN VOJVODINA

Strahinja Zlatic, Nebojsa Novkovic, Natasa Vukelic

Abstract


The peas is one of the most important species of vegetables in Serbia and also in Vojvodina where the most of Agriculture production of Serbia goes to. The paper deals with the analysis of production parameters of pea in Vojvodina in the period from 2005 to 2018. year. In this period peas in Vojvodina is grown on an average of more than  3450 hectares while in Serbia that number is about 6700 ha. Serbia occupies an important place in the areas under the pea in Europe but the harvested area is relatively unstable, which shows the value of the coefficien of variation (Cv = 17,81%) and the rate of change (r = 2,295% ). Average annual production of peas in Vojvodina is at the level of about 22.350 tons, and an average yield of 6,61 t/ha. The aim of this paper is to predict trends in the production of pea in Vojvodina in the period from 2019-2023. The forecast was made for the period 2019–2023 based on the established average rate of change (r) in %. Results show that area under the peas in Vojvodina will be increase for 500  hectares, but the yield tends to decrease what will be reflected with decrease in production.


Keywords


peas; harvested area; production; yield; forecasting

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Copyright (c) 2019 Strahinja Zlatic, Nebojsa Novkovic, Natasa Vukelic

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